Financial stress index construction : the case of Greece
Master Thesis
Συγγραφέας
Episkopos, Ioannis
Επίσκοπος, Ιωάννης
Ημερομηνία
2024-02-28Επιβλέπων
Philippas, NikolaosΦίλιππας, Νικόλαος
Προβολή/ Άνοιγμα
Λέξεις κλειδιά
Financial stress ; Index construction ; Variance-equal weights ; Greece ; Global financial crisisΠερίληψη
This thesis develops and evaluates a Financial Stress Index (FSI) for Greece.
The FSI is constructed using market-based variables that correspond to five segments
of the Greek financial markets, namely, the money market, and bank, equity, bond, and
foreign exchange markets. The variables are aggregated via the variance-equal weight
method and transformed via the logistic sigmoid function to form a gauge of financial
stress scaled from 0 to 1. Using observations from the past 22 years, our index covers
the entire era of Greek participation in the eurozone. Furthermore, its daily frequency
facilitates its use for responsive policy decisions in the rapidly changing financial
environment that characterizes emerging markets, particularly in the European
periphery. By validating the constructed FSI against known periods of financial stress,
we conclude that it performs well in identifying major individual stress events.