Τμηματοποίηση πελατών και πρόβλεψη αποχώρησης : μελέτη περίπτωσης ελληνικής εταιρείας διαδικτυακής παραγγελίας και διανομής προϊόντων
Customer segmentation and churn prediction for a greek online delivery app

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Keywords
Διαδικτυακές παραγγελίες ; Διερευνητική ανάλυση δεδομένων ; Τμηματοποίηση πελατών ; RFM ; Πρόβλεψη αποχώρησης ; Μηχανική μάθηση ; Exploratory data analysis ; Recency–Frequency–Monetary ; Churn prediction ; Logistic regression ; Random forest ; XGBoost ; SMOTE oversampling ; Random undersamplingAbstract
In today’s era, where businesses are required to manage large volumes of complex data, their effective
utilization constitutes a critical factor in maintaining a competitive advantage. This thesis examines the
case of a company operating in the online product delivery sector (food, supermarket goods, etc.),
utilizing real customer data. Initially, data cleaning and exploratory data analysis are carried out with the
aim of understanding the main behavioral patterns as well as the characteristics of the customer base
(such as the most popular and most profitable product categories, the use of discount offers, the
geographical distribution of consumers, etc.).
Subsequently, two customer-centric approaches are applied: (a) Customer Segmentation using the RFM
(Recency, Frequency, Monetary) methodology, to identify distinct groups with common characteristics
for targeted marketing actions and broader business decisions, and (b) Churn Prediction using machine
learning models (Logistic Regression, Random Forest, XGBoost). To address the class imbalance
observed in the dataset, resampling techniques (SMOTE Oversampling, Random Undersampling) are
applied. Finally, the models are evaluated and compared using appropriate metrics, with the aim of
selecting the one most suitable for business application.


