Πρόβλεψη απώλειας πελατών για εμπορικές επωνυμίες καταναλωτικών αγαθών με τη χρήση δεδομένων ηλεκτρονικών συναλλαγών
View/ Open
Keywords
Churn prediction ; e-Commerce ; Machine learningAbstract
This master's thesis delves into the realm of Customer Churn Prediction, focusing on the
novel approach of forecasting potential customer churn at the level of consumer goods brands
in the context of electronic commerce. The central aim is to identify customers likely to
disengage from a specific brand, offering insights valuable for product manufacturers to shape
future strategies and promotional actions in collaboration with retailers.
Drawing upon real transactional data from a prominent international online pharmacy, the
study refrains from including demographic, geographic, or personal customer information and
uses solely transactional data instead. It leverages SQL for data acquisition and Python for
dataset construction, machine learning model training, and result visualization.
The investigation reveals that predicting customer churn at a brand level is possible,
opening new avenues for research, departing from conventional approaches that primarily
address businesses or electronic stores. Several machine learning algorithms and feature
selection techniques are tested, leading to a final predictive model with an accuracy nearing
70%.
In conclusion, this research not only demonstrates the efficacy of predicting customer
churn at the brand level but also proposes practical applications, such as integration into the
eRAM platform. Furthermore, it outlines future pathways for enhancing predictive accuracy
and broadening the scope of the model's utility.