Μοντέλα πρόβλεψης χρεοκοπίας με χρήση οικονομικών δεικτών
Corporate default prediction through financial indicators
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Keywords
Πρόβλεψη ; Πτώχευση ; Λογιστική παλινδρόμηση ; Μοντέλα πρόβλεψης χρεωκοπίαςAbstract
This research studies the concept of business bankruptcy prediction models through the help of financial indicators. The research includes a theoretical and a statistical part. Within the framework of the theory, the research begins by making references to the viability of businesses, the process of their bankruptcy, the causes of their bankruptcy and the results of business bankruptcies. Then, the more mathematical part of the research begins by analyzing the bankruptcy prediction models and entering into the numerical analysis of the research.
Regarding the part of the numerical analysis, nine companies will be examined, of which four are bankrupt and five are active. Fourteen indicators will be used to create the model and the entire process of analysis will be conducted using logistic regression.