Η προβλεπτική ικανότητα των προβλέψεων για ζημίες απομειώσεως - Κίνητρα και πραγματικότητα

View/ Open
Keywords
Προβλέψεις για ζημίες απομειώσεως ; Προβλεπτικό περιεχόμενο προβλέψεων για ζημίες απομειώσεωςAbstract
This study focuses on the examination of existence forward looking Loan Loss Provisions. Specifically it sets as independent variables the Loan Loss Provisions (LLPs) and examines the request through this relationship of them and the elaborated annually provisions from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) for the rate of change of real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and the Error which exists in annually provisions (outlooks).
To satisfy the purpose of the study, was taken into account a sample of 40 banks of 8 countries - members of European Union, United States of America and United Kingdom. The analysis was held in the years between 2000 and 2018 but also the years between 2010 and 2018 for the limited sample. The export of data was made by DataStream and the OECD. The econometric analysis became in R-Studio environment.
The findings of negative and statistically important coefficients of Loan Loss Provisions on the one hand recognised the existence of forward looking in these and on the other hand made them useful for the OECD as a very important metric for the export of more valid provisions for the upcoming changes in economic situation.