Κρίση και οικονομική αβεβαιότητα στην Ελλάδα

Καμπέρη, Φωτεινή

Master Thesis

Author

Καμπέρη, Φωτεινή

Date

2019-05

Abstract

Over the last ten years our country faces the devastating consequences of the modern and global economic and financial crisis. In the context of this diploma thesis we are deepening the influence of a series of variables directly related to the economic crisis. In more detail, data relating to the period from January 1999 to July 2018, on a quarterly basis, with respect to the EU, EPU, the rate of unemployment in our country and the GDP growth rate. The degree of correlation and influence of the rate of change of unemployment and GDP by the EU and EPU indicators is then examined. At this point, it is highlighted that both economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and economic uncertainty (EU) are two factors that are directly linked to the recent economic crisis and both have both increased since the outbreak of the crisis in the country us. From the practical part of this diploma thesis we can see that there is a high correlation between the EPU index and the rate of change in unemployment, the rate of change of GDP, but also with the variables LEVELOFUNEMPLOYMENTt-1 and GDP GROWTHt-1. A high correlation with the EU indicator only shows the two variables LEVELOFUNEMPLOYMENT and GDPGROWTH. Indeed, as the rate of change in unemployment increases, both the EPU index and vice versa are rising. The same analogy applies to LEVELOFUNEMPLOYMENTt-1 both with respect to the EPU index and the EU index. Regarding the rate of change in GDP, as it grows positively, the levels of the EPU index and vice versa are reduced. The same inverse ratio applies to GDP GROWTHt-1 both with respect to the EPU index and the EU index.

Postgraduate Studies Programme

Χρηματοοικονομική και Τραπεζική με κατεύθυνση στην Χρηματοοικονομική Ανάλυση για Στελέχη

Department

Σχολή Χρηματοοικονομικής και Στατιστικής. Τμήμα Χρηματοοικονομικής και Τραπεζικής Διοικητικής

Number of pages

Language

Greek

URI

https://dione.lib.unipi.gr/xmlui/handle/unipi/11991

Collections

Τμήμα Χρηματοοικονομικής και Τραπεζικής Διοικητικής

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Αναφορά Δημιουργού 4.0 Διεθνές