Διερεύνηση των αιτιών απόκλισης της εκτιμώμενης από την παρατηρούμενη ζήτηση υδρογονανθράκων

Ζερβοπούλου, Σταυρούλα Π.

Investigating the causes responsible for deviation between estimated and observed demand of hydrocarbons

Master Thesis

Author

Ζερβοπούλου, Σταυρούλα Π.

Date

2014-07

Abstract

This thesis presents a thorough literature review on hydrocarbons, particularly crude oil and natural gas. Furthermore, an extensive historic background on crude oil prices is given, along with the impact of price fluctuations on supply and demand, while the factors affecting crude oil price are presented. A comprehensive analysis of renewable energy sources is, also, presented, including the relevant major policy drivers (White Paper, Kyoto Protocol). Subsequently, several issues are presented, such as oil stocks, the ratio of stocks to production (R/P), production and consumption, along with the 2040 forecasting (according to the US Energy Information Administration), both, at a global and regional level (USA, Saudi Arabia, China and Russia). The main subject of the thesis is based on peak oil theory and the views of economists and environmentalists regarding the hydrocarbon depletion. The Club of Rome report "The Limits to Growth" was a key factor in the 1970s in understanding that resources are finite and the humanity should reconsider its attitude to excess consumption of conventional energy sources and focus on renewable energy sources. Finally, the Hubbert model for the prediction of oil and natural gas production was applied in some countries and USA regions. According to the results, the model obeys the deductive logic, that is a rational model of inertia and can not be applied in all cases because it does not consider other factors, such as oil price rising.

Postgraduate Studies Programme

Οργάνωση και Διοίκηση Βιομηχανικών Συστημάτων

Department

Σχολή Ναυτιλίας και Βιομηχανίας. Tμήμα Βιομηχανικής Διοίκησης και Tεχνολογίας

Corporate Department

Εθνικό Μετσόβιο Πολυτεχνείο. Σχολή Χημικών Μηχανικών

Number of pages

182

Language

Greek

URI

https://dione.lib.unipi.gr/xmlui/handle/unipi/6942

Collections

Τμήμα Βιομηχανικής Διοίκησης και Τεχνολογίας

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