Διερεύνηση και εμπλουτισμός της μεθόδου Earned Schedule με την ενσωμάτωση της αξιολόγησης κινδύνων

Βαλσαμίδης, Ηρακλής - Χρήστος; Valsamidis, Iraklis - Christos

Research and enrichment of the Earned Schedule method with the incorporation of risk assessment

Master Thesis

Author

Βαλσαμίδης, Ηρακλής - Χρήστος

Valsamidis, Iraklis - Christos

Date

2026

Abstract

This thesis explores and enhances the Earned Schedule (ES) method by integrating risk assessment, aiming to improve the accuracy of time forecasts and the early identification of deviations in IT projects. The starting point of this research is the fact that, despite the clear superiority of Earned Schedule over traditional Earned Value Management (EVM) regarding time tracking, ES still relies primarily on historical progress data and does not systematically incorporate the expected impact of risks on the schedule. The methodology of the thesis is based on a combination of literature review and applied analysis. Initially, the theoretical limitations of EVM and ES are examined, alongside the role of risk management in shaping schedule variances. Subsequently, the proposed Risk-Adjusted Earned Schedule (RA-ES) framework is developed, in which the core time indicators of ES are adjusted through the quantification of schedule risk exposure. The framework is evaluated through two case studies of IT projects of different nature and complexity. The results indicate that RA-ES provides more realistic and insightful completion forecasts compared to classic ES, particularly in environments of high uncertainty. Furthermore, it enhances early warning capabilities, supports management decision-making more effectively, and substantially links time tracking with risk management. Overall, the thesis highlights that incorporating quantitative risk data into Earned Schedule can constitute a significant evolution for the schedule control of modern projects.

Postgraduate Studies Programme

Βιομηχανική Διοίκηση και Τεχνολογία

Department

Σχολή Ναυτιλίας και Βιομηχανίας. Tμήμα Βιομηχανικής Διοίκησης και Tεχνολογίας

Number of pages

Language

Greek

URI

https://dione.lib.unipi.gr/xmlui/handle/unipi/19084

Collections

Τμήμα Βιομηχανικής Διοίκησης και Τεχνολογίας

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Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as
Αναφορά Δημιουργού-Μη Εμπορική Χρήση-Όχι Παράγωγα Έργα 3.0 Ελλάδα