Πίνακες επιβίωσης κατά αιτία θανάτου στην Ελλάδα το 2020
Life tables by cause of death in Greece in 2020
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Keywords
Πίνακας επιβίωσης ; Πιθανότητα θανάτου ; Προσδόκιμο ζωής ; ΘνησιμότηταAbstract
The measurement of mortality is important in demography because life tables can be constructed, which are useful in biostatistics and epidemiology, but also in the public sector for designing social security policies. The private sector also needs knowledge of the structure and evolution of the population, e.g. the insurance industry, to design insurance plans and set premiums and claims. A large field of application of the methods of mortality analysis and construction of survival tables concerns biostatistical research, epidemiometry and actuarial science.
The methodology used in this master thesis involves, initially, the construction of survival tables of men and women using death registration data of the years 2018, 2019 and 2020 and the calculation of life expectancy. Then, by drawing data on deaths by cause for the same years, the specific probabilities and all the functions of the Survival Table from each cause of death were calculated; then, life expectancy was recalculated without the effect of each cause of death. By comparing life expectancy with and without the effect of a particular cause of death, the "benefit" to life expectancy of eliminating that cause of death was estimated.
The main conclusions of the thesis are that the "benefit" in life expectancy differentiates by age. In particular, from the present analysis we can observe that both men and women show a greater difference in the increase in life expectancy in the category of Neoplasms-Other Neoplasms and diseases of the circulatory system. Overall, we find that the elimination of neoplasms would lead to a greater increase in men's life expectancy compared to women, while the elimination of circulatory diseases would result in a greater increase in women's life expectancy. Therefore, we can conclude that men die more due to neoplasms, while women due to diseases of the circulatory system.