Εκτίμηση της κατανάλωσης και του κόστους καυσίμων πλοίων της ποντοπόρου ναυτιλίας, ανά τύπο και μέγεθος πλοίου
Estimation of the consumption and cost of fuel for merchant shipping by vessel's type and size
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Keywords
Οικονομετρική μέθοδος ; Εκτίμηση συντελεστών ανεξάρτητων μεταβλητών ; Πολλαπλή παλινδρόμηση ; Ποντοπόρος ναυτιλία ; Κατανάλωση ναυτικών καυσίμων ; Οικονομετρικά μοντέλα ; E viewsAbstract
The purpose of this thesis is to present the econometric estimation of fuel consumption, as well as its cost for the certain types of merchant shipping vessels, using actual measurements of the variables to be used in the model. Our variable data is derived from the Lloyd's List and Fairplay data bases for deadweight, draft, power, speed, year of built, for the months of December 2016, January, February, and March 2017. They refer to 472 vessels, 200 of which are bulk carriers, 200 containerships and 72 tankers.
At the beginning, reference is made to the meaning and the importance of the existence of merchant shipping and the types of ships used. The bibliography on fuel consumption and models used for this purpose is reviewed. In addition, is presented the definition of econometrics, the definition of multiple regression and the estimation of the variables used. Referring to the econometric analysis, we present the econometric model created for the purpose of the present study, in Eviews statistical program, all the stages of the analysis concerning the determination of the variables used in this model. Then, there is the presentation of the descriptive statistics using graphs by type of ship and the analysis of the variation in consumption for each variable. Then, there is a presentation of the econometric techniques used for the assessment are presented and the results of the consumption assessment. Finally, the estimated coefficients of the independent variables of the econometric model are used, that was created to calculate fuel consumption and then its cost for the sample of ships we have, with real data, under real operating conditions for December 2016 until March 2017, daily and for the entire time period of the data.
In conclusion, are presented the fuel consumption by type of ship and the main variables affecting it, from the literature samples presented, as well as from the present econometric model.