Αποτίμηση φυσικών, κοινωνικών και οικονομικών επιπτώσεων της κλιματικής αλλαγής στο Πεντελικό Όρος

Τζαμπύρας, Ιωάννης

Climate change assessment of physical, social and economic impacts on Pentelikon Mountain

Master Thesis

Author

Τζαμπύρας, Ιωάννης

Date

2026-05

Abstract

This thesis examines climate change as a complex and multidimensional phenomenon with significant environmental and socio-economic impacts, focusing on the Mount Pentelicus region in Greece. It first outlines the global context of climate change, which is primarily driven by anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions and is manifested through rising average temperatures, altered precipitation patterns, and an increased frequency of extreme weather events. The Mediterranean region, and Greece in particular, are identified as highly vulnerable areas, experiencing more frequent heatwaves, prolonged droughts, and an elevated risk of wildfires and flooding, highlighting the urgent need for adaptation strategies. The study then describes the physical and geographical characteristics of Mount Pentelicus, a key natural ecosystem in the Attica region, rich in biodiversity, forested areas, and important hydrological systems. It also presents the methodological framework used for climate projection analysis, including Global Climate Models (GCMs) and Regional Climate Models (RCMs), along with downscaling techniques and emission scenarios (RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, and RCP 8.5), based on datasets such as EURO-CORDEX and LIFE AdaptInGR. The results indicate a future climate characterized by higher temperatures, reduced precipitation, and intensified drought conditions, especially under high-emission scenarios. Furthermore, the thesis analyses both direct and indirect impacts of climate change on the Mount Pentelicus area. The findings show a significant deterioration of forest ecosystems, including increased wildfire risk, biodiversity loss, and degradation of ecosystem services. Water resources are also under increasing pressure due to reduced availability and growing demand, while tourism, the urban environment, and public health are negatively affected. These impacts generate considerable social and economic costs, reducing quality of life and increasing the burden on infrastructure and management systems. Finally, the study proposes an integrated adaptation and mitigation framework, including measures for emission reduction, sustainable natural resource management, and strengthening ecosystem and infrastructure resilience. Emphasis is placed on wildfire prevention, water management, and urban resilience through green infrastructure. Additionally, monitoring indicators are proposed to evaluate the effectiveness of adaptation measures and support continuous policy improvement. Overall, the thesis highlights the need for a coordinated, long-term, and cross-sectoral approach to effectively address the challenges posed by climate change in the study area.

Postgraduate Studies Programme

Βιοοικονομία, Κυκλική Οικονομία και Βιώσιμη Ανάπτυξη

Department

Σχολή Οικονομικών, Επιχειρηματικών και Διεθνών Σπουδών. Τμήμα Οικονομικής Επιστήμης

Number of pages

127

Language

Greek

URI

https://dione.lib.unipi.gr/xmlui/handle/unipi/19381

Collections

Τμήμα Οικονομικής Επιστήμης

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Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as
Αναφορά Δημιουργού-Μη Εμπορική Χρήση-Όχι Παράγωγα Έργα 3.0 Ελλάδα