Στατιστικά μοντέλα για την εξέλιξη του σκορ και το τελικό αποτέλεσμα σε έναν αγώνα μπάσκετ
Statistical models for the score development and the final outcome of a basketball game
Ταβλάκης, Εμμανουήλ Γ.
SubjectLinear models (Statistics) ; Logits ; Probits ; Sports -- Mathematical models ; Basketball -- Statistics
Statistical Science has become a major part of Sports. It applies to all the individual or team sports and athletic clubs already spend large amounts of money to get valuable statistical information. Statistics is in use by trainers and sports statisticians in order to monitor either the players’ individual performance or the team as a whole. Furthermore, betting companies build statistical models to predict how likely an event is to occur and make a profit. In this study, statistical techniques used by the researchers into basketball will be briefly reported at first. Using actual data from the most prestigious European basketball tournament, we will analyze the games’ main statistics with the help of tables and charts and next we will perform a couple of statistical tests. Afterwards, we will employ Logit and Probit models aiming to find the key factors affecting the final outcome of a game and to what extent we are able to predict it.