Moldova at a crossroads in the current geopolitical turmoil : strengthening Moldova's energy security as a key factor for stability in the wider region

Master Thesis
Συγγραφέας
Kontogouri, Eleni
Κοντογούρη, Ελένη
Ημερομηνία
2025-06-06Επιβλέπων
Cheila, EiriniΧειλά, Ειρήνη
Προβολή/ Άνοιγμα
Λέξεις κλειδιά
Moldova ; Energy security ; Geopolitical turmoil ; European integration ; Russian energy dependence ; Renewable energy transition ; ENTSO-E ; NATO cooperation ; Institutional resilience ; Energy diversification ; Green transition ; Energy justice ; National sovereignty ; Black Sea Region ; Weaponized interdependence ; Public perceptions ; Crisis preparedness ; Energy Strategy 2030 ; Sustainable development ; Eastern partnershipΠερίληψη
Amid intensifying geopolitical instability in Eastern Europe, Moldova’s energy security has
emerged as a critical issue—not only for its internal resilience but also for the strategic
equilibrium of the wider Black Sea and Eastern Partnership region. This thesis examines how
Moldova is navigating this complex energy landscape, focusing on its accelerated alignment
with European frameworks, its disengagement from Russian energy dependence, and its broader
geopolitical reorientation.
The research is structured into three chapters, each addressing a distinct analytical layer. The
first chapter provides an in-depth assessment of Moldova’s current energy profile, market
structure, regulatory landscape, and emergency response mechanisms, while evaluating the
impact of the Russia–Ukraine war on its energy system.
The second chapter analyzes the country’s infrastructure investments and long-term strategic
planning aimed at energy independence. It engages with Moldova’s 2030 Energy Strategy and
examines integration into regional systems like ENTSO-E, cooperation with NATO in areas of
hybrid and cyber threats, and policy instruments for the green transition. These dynamics are
explored through the lens of energy transition theory, particularly the Multi-Level Perspective,
highlighting the interdependence of technological change, institutional reform, and geopolitical
pressure.The third chapter introduces an empirical dimension through a structured survey. It
captures public perceptions regarding Moldova’s energy vulnerability, European integration,
renewable energy development, and crisis preparedness.
The thesis ultimately argues that Moldova’s energy strategy is not a matter of mere technical
adaptation. It is a comprehensive project of national sovereignty, institutional resilience, and
democratic alignment. As such, Moldova represents a test case for how small, strategically
located states respond to energy insecurity, authoritarian leverage, and the imperatives of
sustainable development in an increasingly polarized geopolitical environment.


