Η ανάπτυξη και εφαρμογή ολοκληρωμένου μοντέλου διαχείρισης κινδύνου για την προστασία έναντι απειλής από πειρατές, τρομοκράτες και άλλους παράγοντες κινδύνου στην περιοχή της Ερυθράς θάλασσας και του Ινδικού Ωκεανού

Αναγνωστόπουλος, Βασίλειος

The development and implementation of an integrated risk management model for pirate and terrorists threats and other risk factors in the Red Sea and Indian Ocean region

Master Thesis

Author

Αναγνωστόπουλος, Βασίλειος

Date

2025-03

Abstract

This thesis examines the development and implementation of an integrated risk management model aimed at safeguarding maritime transport against threats such as piracy, terrorism, and other risk factors in the Red Sea and Indian Ocean region. Geopolitical tensions and the increasing criminal activity along the maritime routes of this area have necessitated the development of advanced security strategies and risk management approaches in the shipping industry. The research adopts an interdisciplinary methodology, combining literature review, analysis of historical attack data, statistical risk estimation models, and quantitative simulations, such as Poisson distribution and Monte Carlo simulation. It investigates how pirates and other armed groups, such as the Houthis, exploit regional instability to target commercial vessels and disrupt global supply chains. The thesis evaluates both existing risk management strategies—such as Best Management Practices (BMPs) and international naval operations—and emerging threats stemming from the use of anti-ship missiles (ASMs), unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), and waterborne improvised explosive devices (WBIEDs). A case study of the 2024 attack on the Greek-owned oil tanker MT Sounio underscores the importance of continuously adapting maritime security measures to evolving threats. Within the risk management framework, the study proposes a D-D-D-R-R model (Deter – Detect – Delay – Respond – Recover), which integrates deterrence, detection, delay, response, and recovery strategies. Furthermore, it emphasizes the need to incorporate emerging technologies, such as electronic countermeasures (ECM) and high-energy laser (HEL) weapons, to enhance maritime security. The findings indicate that the prevention and mitigation of maritime risks can be effectively achieved through a combination of avoidance strategies, technological innovation, international cooperation, and strengthened maritime surveillance. The recommendations provided can serve as a foundation for improving maritime security policies and protecting the supply chain against future threats.

Postgraduate Studies Programme

ΔΠΜΣ στη Διοίκηση στη Ναυτική Επιστήμη και Τεχνολογία

Department

Σχολή Ναυτιλίας και Βιομηχανίας. Τμήμα Ναυτιλιακών Σπουδών

Corporate Department

Σχολή Ναυτικών Δοκίμων

Number of pages

Language

Greek

URI

https://dione.lib.unipi.gr/xmlui/handle/unipi/17594

Collections

Τμήμα Ναυτιλιακών Σπουδών

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Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as
Αναφορά Δημιουργού-Μη Εμπορική Χρήση-Όχι Παράγωγα Έργα 3.0 Ελλάδα