Ανάλυση και πρόβλεψη αφίξεων τουριστών στα νησιά του Νοτίου Αιγαίου

Ζαχαριάς, Γεώργιος

Master Thesis

Author

Ζαχαριάς, Γεώργιος

Date

2024-03

Abstract

Forecasting is used in various professional and social sectors, due to the need to eliminate risk when making decisions for future activities. Forecasts are a key methodological tool for any future development and decision, with their quality depending on the way in which the data were generated and analyzed. Prediction remains an estimation method, an estimate which, due to various unbalanced and unknown parameters, contains a finite error rate. The seasonal component is a cyclical fluctuation with a period of one year, as within this period all the upward and downward movements are exhausted. The seasonal variation comes from the fact that the data are related to the seasons, with the values they receive being related to the climatic differences between the seasons. The causes of the seasonality of tourism are mainly due to climatic and geographical characteristics of an area and a complex of institutional, economic, political and social characteristics of the countries of tourist origin and tourist destination, with tourist arrivals and revenues of Greek tourism over time record the highest prices the third quarter of a year (July - August - September) and the lowest in the first quarter of each year (January - February - March). The purpose of this work is a first brief presentation of the situation of Greek tourism and their seasonality, the collection, ranking, analysis and presentation of tourist data, through tourist arrivals at airports, the islands of Rhodes, Kos and South Aegean islands (Astypalea, Kalymnos, Karpathos, Kasos and Kastelorizo) and finally, through methodological tools and practical linear and seasonal forecasts, the forecast of future tourist arrivals in the aforementioned islands

Postgraduate Studies Programme

MBA TQM International - Ευρωπαϊκό Πρόγραμμα Μεταπτυχιακών Σπουδών στη Διοίκηση Επιχειρήσεων – Ολική Ποιότητα με διεθνή προσανατολισμό (MBA TQM Int)

Department

Σχολή Οικονομικών, Επιχειρηματικών και Διεθνών Σπουδών. Τμήμα Οργάνωσης και Διοίκησης Επιχειρήσεων

Number of pages

Language

Greek

URI

https://dione.lib.unipi.gr/xmlui/handle/unipi/16315
http://dx.doi.org/10.26267/unipi_dione/3737

Collections

Τμήμα Οργάνωσης και Διοίκησης Επιχειρήσεων

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Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as
Αναφορά Δημιουργού-Όχι Παράγωγα Έργα 3.0 Ελλάδα