Ο αντίκτυπος των συναλλαγματικών ισοτιμιών στις τιμές των μετοχών. Στοιχεία από μεγάλες παγκόσμιες αγορές μετοχών

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Keywords
Συναλλαγματικές ισοτιμίες ; Τιμές μετοχών ; GMM ; Dimitrescu-HurlinAbstract
The aim of this paper is to examine the influence of exchange rates on stock
prices.In order to achieve this goal, a macroeconomic analysis framework was
implemented on country level, collecting data of major stock market indices and
exchange rates vis-à-vis the US dollar.Furthermore, in order to have a more
comprehensive estimation of the exchange rate’s effect on stock prices, in our
analysis were also included the variables of Consumer Price Index, Gross
Domestic Product, ten year bond yields and gold and oil prices.Working on a
panel framework, the methodologies being used were the Fixed Effects Method
and the Generalized Method of Moments, with the latter being our main research
method upon which the final results will be based.Thus with the GMM method, a
positive and statistically significant effect of exchange rates on stock prices was
observed, a result which was confirmed by the implementation of Dimitrescu - Hurlin
causality test which showed bidirectional causality relationship between
them.