Αποτίμηση ενεργειακών δικαιωμάτων προαίρεσης προσαρμοσμένης σε προθεσμιακές τιμές
![Thumbnail](/xmlui/bitstream/handle/unipi/11986/Tsiogas_MXAN1731.pdf.jpg?sequence=7&isAllowed=y)
View/ Open
Keywords
Ενεργειακά δικαιώματα προαίρεσης ; Μονοπάτια τιμής ; Εκτίμηση παραμέτρων ; Τριωνυμικά δέντρα ; Μοντέλο Black Scholes ; Μοντέλο Hull και White ; Μοντέλο Clewlow και StricklandAbstract
This thesis develops a one factor model which is consistent with forward prices and volatilities observable from the market. Energy options are analytically priced by both the models of Black-Scholes (1973) and Clewlow-Strickland (1998), which is a generalization of the Hull and White model (1994a, 1994b).
Firstly, we demonstrate the theoretical framework which is necessary in order to complete our empirical study. Moreover, we use observations from 20 different energy options of crude oil within a week, and we estimate the parameters of the aforementioned models via the iterative algorithm of Levenberg and Marquardt. In the end, we re-evaluate the energy options using these models and we compare and discuss our findings.
The complexity of this procedure lies both on the absence of historical data for this particular type of energy option and on simulating the proper pricing path for the underlying asset price.