VaR for U.S. and european stock indices
dc.contributor.advisor | Σκιαδόπουλος, Γεώργιος | |
dc.contributor.author | Sazdanoska, Mirjana | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2017-12-18T09:15:42Z | |
dc.date.available | 2017-12-18T09:15:42Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2017-01 | |
dc.identifier.uri | https://dione.lib.unipi.gr/xmlui/handle/unipi/10306 | |
dc.format.extent | 81 | el |
dc.language.iso | en | el |
dc.publisher | Πανεπιστήμιο Πειραιώς | el |
dc.rights | Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Διεθνές | * |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ | * |
dc.title | VaR for U.S. and european stock indices | el |
dc.type | Master Thesis | el |
dc.contributor.department | Σχολή Χρηματοοικονομικής και Στατιστικής. Τμήμα Χρηματοοικονομικής και Τραπεζικής Διοικητικής | el |
dc.description.abstractEN | The objective of this study is to determine the best Value-at-Risk (VaR) model for the biggest stock exchange indexes in the U.S. and Europe. We use the Historic Simulation and Variance-Covariance approach with estimated volatility from Moving Average, Exponentially Weighted Moving Average, GARCH (1,1) with Normal Distribution, GARCH (1,1) with Student-t Distribution, EGARCH (1,1) with Normal Distribution and EGARCH (1,1) with Student-t Distribution. We use these methods in order to obtain the VaR forecasts for the period 01/01/2007 to 26/09/2016 for the following indices: S&P500, NASDAQ, EUROSTOXX, FTSE100, DAX, CAC and ATHEX. For the backtesting we apply the three tests proposed by Christoffersen (2012). Our results show that the most accurate results are achieved when using the Student t distribution together with a volatility forecasting model that takes into account the leverage effect, as the EGARCH (1,1). | el |
dc.contributor.master | Χρηματοοικονομική και Τραπεζική με κατεύθυνση στην Χρηματοοικονομική και Τραπεζική Διοικητική | el |
dc.subject.keyword | Value at Risk | el |
dc.subject.keyword | Historical simulation | el |
dc.subject.keyword | Variance - Covariance | el |
dc.subject.keyword | EWMA | el |
dc.subject.keyword | GARCH | el |
dc.subject.keyword | EGARCH | el |
dc.subject.keyword | Backtesting | el |
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Τμήμα Χρηματοοικονομικής και Τραπεζικής Διοικητικής
Department of Banking & Financial Management